Monday, January 10, 2011

Center of US Political Power is Shifting

In the 1960 U.S. presidential election, New York state had 45 electoral votes. In the 2012 election, it will have 29, or fewer than at any time since 1824, and the fewest in terms of proportion ever.

Since the 1960 election, states which are now categorized as 'open shop' states (i.e. right-to-work) have gained a net of 34 electoral votes. Open shop states are usually Republican dominated, they have to be to get that sort of legislation passed.

During that same time, the traditionally unionized and industrial states of of the upper Midwest: Illinois, Indiana, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Ohio - have lost 32 electoral votes.

Interestingly, the gains in open-shop states are concentrated in Texas, Florida and Arizona, and mostly because of Hispanic immigration, who have not yet translated population into electoral muscle at the state level.

1U.S. Electoral Map widget

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